Weekend Replay: Josh Pulls a “Deal or No Deal” First
Channel 4′s Deal or No Deal has been around for over 2,000 games. There aren’t many more firsts they can achieve. They just need to find their first male quarter millionaire, someone to Deal at the first offer, and someone to Deal at the second offer and their bingo card is marked off. They can cross one of those off. Josh seems like one of those determined players which will keep going if there’s a chance he could be leaving with some big money, including the £250,000 grand prize. However, an £8,000 second offer stops him dead and makes him seriously consider it. As you can guess by the title Josh does end up taking it, and what transpires is why people will probably never take a second round offer again.
Check it out and let us know what you think. Would you ever take a second round offer?
Video and photo courtesy Endemol and Channel 4
Pardon me, but what did he mean at 7:41 by saying “He would have had to have brought out his friend The Govenor”?
Josh, in UK Deal lingo, “the Governor” is an offer of 26,000 pounds.
I can’t tell you how the offer got the name, though.
I think it was because it was a reliable out for players, and many players would take it despite the fact that they still had a ton of big money on the board. And sure enough, players would take the 26K and discover they could’ve had more.
Then again, what do I know…
If this happened on the American version, they probably wouldn’t have even bothered to air it, considering all the over the top gimmicks they pulled over the course of both the primetime and syndicated runs.
With that many blue still on the board you don’t deal at 8,000… le sigh.
This game is representative of what has been going on in the Dream factory lately. Besides his game, over 70% of the contestants have dealt at 11 or 8 box and no one has won anything more than the governor (26k) in the past 2 months. It’s mainly because of the chickens in the wings that are encouraging contestants to always deal early (i.e. Gavin). And to encourage the continuation of this trend, some of the contestants who don’t deal then get their game ruined afterwards. I wish I could charge into that studio right now and remind the contestants that they’re in THE DREAM FACTORY, and they thus should at least attempt to chase their dreams. I’m certainly not saying always play the game to the end, but rather contestants should show the banker that they are willing to do so if the banker’s offers aren’t high enough.
“Would you ever take a second round offer?” – If it was high enough, yes. But it never is. If there’s one thing I know about DoND, it’s that the Banker always lowballs the first two at a bare minimum, and usually the third as well.
With that board, I would’ve turned down anything less than £16K without hesitation, and probably anything less than £19K as well. On the high end, I’d seriously consider anything above £25K and would immediately Deal on anything above £29K. But the chances of the offer being that good that early in the game are about the same as Ralph Nader’s chance of becoming the next US President.
In summary, there’s probably a 99.9% chance I’d reject a second round offer – but only because it’s too low; the fact that it’s a second round offer would not come into consideration at all.
The problem is that British people overall are far less risk oriented than Americans and Australians. The british Banker’s offers (based off the average) overall are far smaller than any other banker in any other version of Deal. Why? Because so many players are stupid enough to show that they are not risk takers and are highly dependent on the banker’s offers. The banker counters by low-balling their offers big time at first and if they don’t take them he’ll low ball them a little bit less to make it look like he rewards “honesty”. If the player shows they’re a massive risk taker, however, the banker has to offer them really good offers if they keep the big money in play. For example, a lady played in 2009 who showed the banker that she really was determined to win the quarter-million was offered 50,000 pounds at 5 box with the quarter-million and 4 blues left.
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